State Budget Update - Aug. 4, 2010Dear Colleagues,
Yesterday, legislative Democrats from both houses unveiled their latest budget proposal in an attempt to jump-start negotiations on the budget. There have been few serious discussions for about five weeks while legislators left town for the scheduled July recess.
The plan would increase personal income taxes and the vehicle license fee, while lowering the state sales tax for a net tax increase of $1.8 billion. The rationale behind the complex swap is that PIT and VLF are deductible from federal income taxes, essentially shifting a portion of the tax increase to the federal government. A complete description of the complex swap is available. The plan further delays corporate tax cuts scheduled to take effect January 1, which are also proposed for repeal by CTA-led Proposition 24.
The plan suspends Proposition 98 funding for K-12 schools and community colleges, while still providing a level of funding $3 billion above the governor's May budget plan. Most of the additional funds are used to eliminate the governor's proposed $1.5 billion "revenue limit" cuts to K-12, as well as the elimination of state-funded child care. Unlike the governor's plan, Democrats would uphold the "maintenance factor" deal with K-12 schools and community colleges included in last year's budget, which will restore $900 million in ongoing community college funding over the next several years as the economy improves.
While the complete details for community colleges aren't expected to be available until the next day or two, we expect the plan will:
Where do we go from here?
The Democrats' plan will likely be formally adopted on a party-line vote by the Budget Conference Committee, which is expected to wrap-up deliberations this week. We will likely then see votes on the floor of each house next week to frame the Democrats' budget in the media, although the requisite two-thirds are unlikely to be there. Nevertheless, we have strong intelligence that at least some Republicans are interested in the tax swap idea, and this plan could be the framework for a budget deal.
Since January, the League has supported a balanced plan to close this significant state budget deficit. While we will leave the specific revenue sources to the tax experts, this framework appears to be reasonable, and mitigates the worst cuts proposed in the governor's budget plan.
President and Chief Executive Officer
Orange Coast College '94